Uribe, speaking in Medellin, apologized for the breach of Ecuador's sovereignty in March 2008 when the Colombian army attacked a FARC camp in Ecuadorean territory killing 25 guerillas and the FARC's number two, Raul Reyes.
"Concerning the issue of our incursion into the Ecuadorean jungle and the bombing against Reyes, I ask them forgiveness for that," the President said, adding the deal with the U.S. is only to fight against terrorism and drug trafficking.
"Our objective is making an end to terrorism: this is the bandit. Ecuador and Venezuela are our brothers," Uribe said.
8/15/09
Bizarrely unmentioned by English language newswires (part 729)
The South America Swine Flu Sweepstakes Update, August 15
Here's the fatalities chart as at the date:
But this week Brazil is the big story. Its fatalities number has shot from the low 100s to over 300 in the space of a week, with 63 deaths registered in the last 24 hours (for example). There's some serious infecting going on right now in the big cities and general southern region and Brazil is catching Argentina fast. Of course there's the question of population size (there are 5X more Brazilians than Argentinians) but all the same the recent fast upmove will be cause for real concern chez Lula.
I've left Uruguay in 5th because it's lagging on official figures and trying to play dumb with its own people...dat be stoopid of dem. Peru's HealthMin says the worst of the problem is over...yeah right. In general, those countries coming to the end of their winters have had it much rougher than the tropical zones. I presume it's cold where you live in December....am I right?
It's Bolivia's fault, of course
However, the Czechs (just like previous potential vendors previously) have been stopped from selling their trainer craft with the necessary equipment to Bolivia by...yes you've guessed it already...the United States of America. Bolivia's Defence Minister Walker San Miguel (crazy name, crazy guy) yesterday confirmed that he'd received word from the Czech Republic apologizing for the fact that the USA gov't has stopped them from selling their planes.
Let us remember that the USA says Bolivia has a bad attitude in its (their phrase not mine) WarOnDrugs™ and accuses them of not making enough effort. Now am I missing something here, or..................
8/14/09
The Friday OT: Radiohead, How To Disappear Completely (live)
I'm not here. This isn't happening.
Elvin has left the building
Here's the link to their story that explains just how the USA is actively pumping money to the usurpers (What? you mean they lied to us, Otto??) and making sure that Micheletti's chosen protegé, pro-coup Presidential candidate Elvin Santos, gets his unfair share by writing cheques out to his privately owned company. All that and lots more in a real old-school full-on scoop of an article over at narconews. Go see for yourself.
Antigua and Barbuda: Capitalism fails, ALBA bails
But fear ye not, island people, because where rampant kapitalism has failed you rampant socialism will come and save the day....with money (!?!?). ALBA, the organization built around Hugo Chávez's oil revenues to promote the cause in LatAm, has bailed out Antigua and Barbuda to the tune of U$50m so that ends are met and things stay afloat. A&B joined ALBA in June and has just got its first payoff for the decision.
All this does raise some interesting philosophical questions about the nature of money, politics, ideals and stuff like that. Unfortunately I'm too stupid to know what to make of it all (according to recent e-mails received, anyway) so work it out for yourselves.
Trading Post (permission edition)
Aura Silver (AUU.v) up 185% at $0.27 and doing tons of volume (4.4m shares and counting). The world is now trying to work out whether it's a buy at this level. I don't have a clue, personally. DYODD, dude.
Fortuna Silver (FVI.v) up 0.9% at $1.11. FVI rushed up yesterday afternoon to this level and apart from an early morning pop to $1.18 has looked pretty steady here. Silver dropping today has bummed its revaluation a bit, but no matter; the stock's had a great week on good fundy news. Gotta like that. Volumes still doing fine, which is another reason to like this week.
Minera Andes (MAI.to) down 1.5% at $0.65 on avg vols and back under the iceberg. General metals malaise stopped this rebound in its tracks, too. Looking forward to the earnings report Chez Otto. Long here.
Dynasty (DMM.to) down 6.1% at $3.08 on low volumes and getting to revisit this week's lows again...nearly. Will I bore you too much if I say "patience needed?". Yeah, thought it would grate on yaz.
Cosan (CZZ) up 1% at U$8.00. CZZ's record earnings got themselves a nice blaring headline this morning (R$337m) but I wasn't too impressed personally. Net margins of 9.5% aren't that fabbo, considering where sugar is right now. Big debt load, too. More important this time around will be the next crop report from South Brazil. The stock's had a great run and it's probably time to cash in if long.
Chile's car sales
ANAC originally put its estimates for 2009 at 130,000 units, but they've bumped that up to 140,000 on recent numbers (Chile's sales tend to increase month after month during the year, peaking in November)But the bad news is the longer view. The 140,000 units forecast for 2009 sit like this compared to previous years.

Aura Silver (AUU.v): Today's big winner

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hole Sample From To Length(i) Au Ag AgEq(ii)
(m) (m) (m) (g/t) (g/t) (g/t)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
HBET-01
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Au Zone 2522-2542 0.00 29.55 29.55 0.50 15.39 45.50
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Including 2534-2543 19.45 31.10 11.65 0.70 20.13 62.13
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2542 28.05 29.55 1.50 1.89 108.00 221.40
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
HBET-02
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ag Zone 2581-2607 14.90 73.05 58.15 0.07 65.05 69.25
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Including 2593-2607 59.50 73.05 13.55 0.13 137.50 145.30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2596-2607 61.50 73.05 11.55 0.15 157.30 166.30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2597 61.50 62.15 0.65 0.14 667.00 675.40
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2607 71.85 73.05 1.20 0.19 743.00 754.40
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Au Zone 2642-2668 107.65 158.75 51.10 0.54 12.20 44.70
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Including 2642-2649 107.65 117.45 9.80 0.87 12.39 64.30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
HBET-03
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ag Zone 2679-2711 85.00 119.20 34.20 0.13 211.70 219.50
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Including 2701-2711 107.10 119.20 12.10 0.24 519.00 533.40
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2701-2705 107.10 111.80 4.70 0.15 1,077.00 1,086.00
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2683 88.05 89.50 1.45 0.27 1,100.00 1,116.20
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2701 107.10 107.90 0.80 0.12 646.00 653.20
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
2703 108.90 110.20 1.30 0.28 2,450.00 2,466.80
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Au Zone 2715-2727 135.00 149.10 14.10 0.56 3.44 37.18
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
DYODD, dude
More downward revisions for Peru
So let's look at how the official finance whores have forecast Peru 2009 so far in chart form. Now, I dunno 'bout you dude, but I kinda notice a trend developing...........
Meanewhile, the pre-empted excuses for this month's disaster number (about to be published...should be a lotta fun) are already rolling out. This latest one made me laugh, the headline saying "According to analysts, economy fell 2% in June due to social protests". Y'see it isn't the Twobreakfast/Spongebob show that's at fault, oh no no no no no; it's those lousy commies that protest over nothing. But they can dress it up any way they like; Peru is falling further into recession on their watch, period. Truth beats out lies eventually.
Venezuela, just like where you live

... and now here comes the translation into English:
---------------------------
Just for you. Don't let yourself be evicted if
you're up to date with rent payments we
guarantee you (5) years (of residence).
We also evict (in) 2 months.
Tel 0414-322.01.83
----------------------------
Chart of the day is....
....copper, the most recent action via 60 minutes candles.
Yes, direct from the world of WTFDIK?, here's the metal that's supposed to have a PHd but gets pushed around by the bullies with the most money just like the rest of them (us). Remember all those commentators last year saying $140/bbl oil wasn't a hedgie-induced bubble? Yep you guessed it, they're saying the same thing again right here right now about Cu.But no matter the cause, more interesting the effect. IKN Weekly subscribers have been pointed to a couple of small junior Cu plays that haven't as yet joined the mayhem and fury and as such they present decent risk/reward options right now. Even if we get the significant drop I'm still expecting (waiting for Godot) to, let's say, Cu $2.50 there are plenty of names worth considering, so here's another time when market expectations and fundies on the stocks have greatly diverged. Always a good time to search for value.
Last thought: Keep watching that LME warehouse inventory number, dudettes and dudes. Now 292k and counting, when it breaks 300k I suspect the issue will catch more headlines. DYODDD.
8/13/09
Honduras's de facto gov't shoots people and beats crap outta them...FOR PEACE
Honduras Oye got the pictures
Ten Percent got the indignation
Quotha got the bullets.
Machetera got the pro-coup Israeli hit squad in training in Honduras (I kid thee not)
Meanwhile, Reuters and McClatchy got the dumbass lapdogs serving up sterilized news for the coup apologists (see borev link) and the USA got the lilly-livered Prez hiding behind semantics. Pathetic the lot of you.
Muffin Flu, anyone?
Thus IKN launches its "Emergency Volunteer Muffin Observer" appeal. Tell me, is anyone out there interested in closely observing President Rafael Correa for a few days? It's a morning, noon and night job, folks.
c
Fortuna Silver news
This weekend's IKN Weekly will feature a NOBS fundamental analysis report on Fortuna Silver as we take in the recent happenings and set a target for the end of the year. Be there or be square.
Trading Post (broken hair edition)
Alturas (ALT.v) up 16.7% at $0.21 with just one trade made and the ask at 25. ALT came out with some good news on a link-up with BVN this morning, as the big miner options in to one of ALT's silver properties in Peru and the little miner gets a free ride and (if all goes well) handy cash payments along the way. Notable is the action in the Lima bourse on the stock this morning, as 500k shares in mucho operations have traded there since the announcement (update, make that 685k shares and counting) and the price is U$0.21...Toronto caught snoozing again.
Dynasty (DMM.to) up 1.9% at $3.30, but better than the smallish move is the better volumes on today's leg of the climb-back. So much for the end of the world, eh shillerz?
ECU Silver (ECU.to) up 1.9% at $0.53, and a nice reminder that the stock markets are populated by suckers. How anyone can possibly bid up this stock today is beyond me and I don't care if silver spot goes to $16 mañana. At some point it does become our moral responsibility to separate fools from their money....these people become rich and they could get dangerous.
Minera Andes (MAI.to) down 2.9% at $0.66, and as IKN Weekly subscribers found out over two hours ago I bought some MAI on a stink bid at 65c this morning. They also know why. DYODD, dude.
Does Otto work for BBVA Banco Continental? Should Otto work for BBVA?
BBVA Banco Continental forecasts that the Peruvian economy will grow 1.4% in 2009 and expects a rate of +3.3% in 2010.So let's check that chart I put together back in April again...

...oh looky, Otto said +1.28%. And that was the time when Spongebob and all at the Peruvian Finance Ministry said growth would be 5%, Twobreakfasts assured his masses 5%, the World Bank said 5%, the IMF said 5%, BBVA was saying 5% (or thereabouts) and the freaking Peruvian Central Bank swore blind that it'd be 5%. It's also the time of year that commentators like Luchillo (who pretended to be an economist from chile living in Lima) would troll this blog and tell me that I must be some kind of insurgent communist for standing up and saying "They are lying to you". How do you feel now, dumbass?
It only remains to ask whether I actually work for the bank in question (the answer being "hahahahahahahahahaaaaaaaaaaa") or whether I should work for BBVA in the future (the answer being "no way José; I'd last a week at best). Y'know, yesterday I was accused by somebody who thought he was being friendly of being too mouthy on this blog. But hey, when the whole of the financial community expects 5% growth from Peru and I'm here all year saying that's a very large crock, at some point I have the right to stand up and say "toldya so". And there's never going to be an editor here, no matter what people would like to see. If you don't like reading plain speak spoken plainly and an author that is not afraid of the truth and its painful consequences there are a zillion other corners of cyberspace to choose from. No need to return here.
Mining PRs and the Ottotrans™, part 11
Anyway, to business. This is what they wrote
MONTREAL, QUEBEC--(Marketwire - Aug. 13, 2009) - Golden Tag Resources Ltd. (TSX VENTURE: GOG "Golden Tag") has today presented a formal notice to ECU Silver Mining Inc. ("ECU") demanding the immediate cessation of the removal of stockpile material on the San Diego Property. Golden Tag has recently learned that ECU commenced unauthorized removal of surface stockpiles on the property at a daily rate of approximately 250 tonnes per day in clear contravention and breach of the ECU and Golden Tag joint venture agreement (the"JVA"). Removal of these stockpiles and transport of the material is continuing on a daily basis with a fleet of seven trucks. The material is being transported to the nearby processing facility of ECU. There are at least 40,000 tonnes of mineralized material grading 1% Lead, 1% Zinc and 100 grams Silver per ton on the property. The stockpiles represent Joint Venture Assets which can not be mined or processed without the authorization and approval of the Joint Venture committee. Such authorization and approval has not been requested or approved.
ECU, the designated operator of the San Diego joint venture has also failed to remedy prior fundamental breaches of the option and JVA, signed on November 2, 2005 in respect of the San Diego property (see press release: June 23rd 2009). The silver zinc rich property is located in the Velardena Mining District, Municipality of Cuencame, Durango State, Mexico (the "Property"). Golden Tag's counsel in a letter dated March 20, 2009 notified ECU of these breaches and Golden Tag subsequently received assurances that the breaches would be rectified within the requested 30 day period. Despite several follow-ups, the breaches have not been remedied. Golden Tag is fully vested in a 50% Property interest under the JVA.
Among prior contract breaches of ECU which Golden Tag believes will be substantiated at arbitration are that ECU:
(A) Allowed a third party charge against the Property contrary to the JVA.
(B) Invoiced Golden Tag for joint-venture expenses but did not remit the funds to pay joint venture suppliers on a timely basis, some suppliers still being unpaid.
© Failed to timely contribute its equivalent pro rata share of funding to the joint venture.
(D) Failed to follow proper procedures and timely financial reporting.
Due to these significant breaches, Golden Tag plans to seek the right to assume operatorship of the Property, dilution of the interest of ECU and/or compensatory damages and other relief.
And this is what it means:
MONTREAL, QUEBEC--(Marketwire - Aug. 13, 2009) - Golden Tag Resources Ltd. (TSX VENTURE: GOG "Golden Tag") has today presented a formal notice to ECU Silver Mining Inc. ("ECU") telling them to keep their grubby thieving hands off the JV material at the San Diego Property. Golden Tag has recently been told by truck drivers working for ECU who haven't been paid for two months that ECU has been stealing surface stockpiles on the property at a daily rate of approximately 250 tonnes per day, which is half the amount of rock they're putting through their stolen oxide mill, in clear contravention and breach of the ECU and Golden Tag joint venture agreement (the"JVA"). These scammy shits are stealing on a daily basis with a fleet of seven trucks driven by those as yet unpaid drivers. The material is being transported to the nearby stolen processing facility of ECU. Those scumbags have pilfered at least 40,000 tonnes of mineralized material grading 1% Lead, 1% Zinc and 100 grams Silver per ton on the property. The stockpiles represent Joint Venture Assets which can not be mined or processed without the authorization and approval of the Joint Venture committee. Such authorization and approval has not been requested or approved so we're well pissed with these shysters and you'd better believe it, as our half of the silver they've stolen is worth about U$800,000, the lead is about $300,000 and the zinc another $300k. So these fools owe us $1.5m and that's before we start on the punitive damages, suckers. They're going down.
ECU, the designated operator of the San Diego joint venture has also been a pisspoor partner of the option and JVA, signed on November 2, 2005 in respect of the San Diego property (see press release: June 23rd 2009) and we're already in arbitration about this. The crap quality property which looks good on paper but is largely uneconomic to mine as its veins are harder to get at than a junkie's, is located in the Velardena Mining District, Municipality of Cuencame, Durango State, Mexico (the "Property"). Golden Tag's counsel in a letter dated March 20, 2009 notified ECU of these breaches and Golden Tag subsequently received a bunch of bullshit lies from the scamsters that the breaches would be rectified within the requested 30 day period. Unsurprisingly the breaches have not been remedied. Golden Tag is fully vested in a 50% Property interest under the JVA.
Among prior contract breaches of ECU which Golden Tag believes will be substantiated at arbitration are that ECU:
(A) Fraud.
(B) More fraud.
(C) Screwing over the JV at any given opportunity.
(D) Proof these jokers couldn't organize an orgy in a brothel, let alone a mine.
Due to these significant breaches, Golden Tag is totally pissed, is going to sue their scrawny asses and nail them into the ground. Tequila shots with salt and lemon served, the end.
Chart of the day is...
8/12/09
Taking Bets on Ecometals
However it did include this line, talking about the two bits of paper it needs to go forward with the drilling:
So this humble corner of cyberspace is prepared to take bets on this one, folks. Considering the long history of bullshit that comes from this company I say that Ecometals will not receive the necessary permits from the govenment of Ecuador by the end of month and offer even money on the monetary sum of your choice. Any takers?The final remaining Environmental Management Plan and Environmental License approvals are expected to be received this month.
Pisco 2009
Even for the Twobreakfasts government the ineptitude and screw you attitude shown beggars belief. Yes folks, this is the country that's proud of its growth record in the period concerned and it can't even be bothered to look after its own people, let alone keep its word. The cities of Pisco and Ica still don't have hospitals up and functioning after all this time. Many of its inhabitants live under canvas. Dermatological problems are rife and the constant complaint from residents trapped in the hell hole is that of the smell.
The smell of corruption, arrogance, ignorance. The smell of Alan GarcĂa.
Whatever makes you think that Associated Press makes shit up to appease its paymasters, Otto?
Oh, just a feeling.
Take for example today's story about a big drugs bust in Greece, where the local agencies found 447kg of cocaine mixed in a container of aluminium scrap at the Greek port of Piraeus. Apparently the coke was on its way to Bulgaria, the gang has been tracked previously and are known for trafficking the Colombia-Europe route and seizure is one of the biggest (if not the biggest) cocaine bust in Greece ever (so kudos to the cops). Therefore here's the story...As reported by UPI:
"A police official said the anti-drug team acted on a tip received from U.S. authorities saying they suspected the ship was transporting the drug from Colombia."
As reported by Reuters:
"ATHENS (Reuters) - GREEK police said on Wednesday they had seized 500 kilos of cocaine on a boat in the country's main port, Piraeus, and arrested six members of an international drug-smuggling ring."
As reported by Focus News
"Athens. Greek police broke up a Greek-Bulgarian drug trafficking ring importing huge amounts of cocaine from Colombia, the online edition of Greek Makedonia newspaper reports. The special operation was conducted in cooperation with international anti-drug organizations."
As reported by The Sofia Echo
"Greek police have busted a Bulgarian-Greek drug trafficking ring, Focus news agency quoted Greek newspapers as saying.
The organisation allegedly imported large amounts of cocaine from Colombia."
And now ROLL ON THE DRUMS PLEASE....here it is as reported by Associated Press
"Greek authorities say they have seized nearly half a ton of cocaine and arrested five suspected members of an international drug smuggling ring.So the world's press know it's from Colombia, but AP decides the story sounds better if the blame is stuck on the Axis of Evo™. Therefore, Associated Press, for your ongoing bullshit and lies via arch-pisspoor coverage of South America that it exemplified in today's misinformation special, you win this week's coveted award. Enjoy, dumbasses:The Finance Ministry says the 447 kilograms (1,000 pounds) of Colombian cocaine had been smuggled by freighter from Bolivia to Greece's main port of Piraeus, near Athens. It was one of the largest quantities of the drug ever seized in Greece."

Hat tip boliviasol
Minefinders: Fundies still count for something

Hey Thomas, I can't believe that you actually raised your projection on MFN from $10 to $12 on the strength of this piece-o-junk report. I hope for your sake you didn't mention your crappy call to Sir Peter himself. Y'see it's one thing to actually read a quarterly earnings report and quite another to understand it.
Honduras Oye
First go over to Machetera to review what she calls the best blog on Honduras affairs. Machetegirl dixit:
"Of all of the blogs that came to life, either newly created, or revived, as a result of the June 28 coup d’etat in Honduras, one stands out, particularly for English language readers..."Then make your way over to Honduras Oye and keep up to date with what's happening inside the country in the best way possible. End of reco. Now use it*.
*Are you still here? Go on, go now.
I blame The Truman Show
Now this story you gotta see.
By ALAN CLENDENNING and STAN LEHMAN (AP) – 14 hours ago
SAO PAULO, Brazil — In one murder after another, the "Canal Livre" crime TV show had an uncanny knack for being first on the scene, gathering graphic footage of the victim.
Too uncanny, say police, who are investigating the show's host, state legislator Wallace Souza, on suspicion of commissioning at least five of the murders to boost his ratings and prove his claim that Brazil's Amazon region is awash in violent crime. Police also have accused Souza of drug trafficking.
"The order to execute always came from the legislator and his son, who then alerted the TV crews to get to the scene before the police," state police intelligence chief Thomaz Vasconcelos charged in an interview with The Associated Press.
The killings of competing drug traffickers, he said, "appear to have been committed to get rid of his rivals and increase the audience of the TV show."
Souza denied all the criminal allegations and called them absurd, insisting that he and his son are being set up by political enemies and CONTINUES HERE
Make mine a double please
How's the biggest stock in your portfolio been doing recently?I'll take my 33% in 10 days quite happily :-). That's also a new 52 week high, by the way.
All the followings and comments about worthy investments in the LatAm/wider-world junior mining sector are your for the taking in The IKN Weekly. You'll love the service (clients got a flash update on four stocks this morning) and the reco'd stocks are now seeing the gains that their fundamentals have always promised. At just U$25 a month and easily cancelled if you don't like what you see, it's a very low risk proposition that offers proven rewards and a sensible, intelligent approach to investing in this trappy sector of the market (well I think so at least).
Now, if only DMM.to would get off its tush and join the others.............
Chart of the day is.....
They also turned a $1.2m net profit this quarter, all while respecting the environment around them and treating their workforce right. You guys stick with those marginal Mexico plays, I'll stick with the best small silver company out there, period. Here's a link to the presser. DYODD.
8/11/09
ON NOES! Oscar Arias got da Swine Flu!
PS: Get well soon Oscar. For a politico you're not a bad dude.
Venezuelan parallel exchange rate update

Things have been fairly calm with the VEF/USD permuta "parallel" rate recently, with the range staying on or around the M2 vs reserves theoretical rate (see previous posts for more on that). This post is no more than a quick update and was inspired by a Google search that landed on site this afternoon using these keywords:
Some advice for my searchfriend:
1) Go to Miami
2) Know where your ankles are, because you'll need to be holding on to them very tightly if the transaction goes through at the rate you're offered in the USA.
Trading Post (name that tune edition)
Meet me in the summertime
We can move the air
Sweet Virginia countryside
I will meet you there
Dynasty (DMM.to) up 3.3% at $3.29 on a low volume recovery from yesterday's swandive. It's all good.
Troy Resources (TRY.to) up 2.6% at $1.56 on a down day....it's all good. Again great volumes in Australia last night. Gotta love this move...gotta be on it, too.
Oroco Resources (OCO.v) UNCH at $0.135 on nothing volumes. This is the very same dog that was pumped to a bunch of greenhorn Germans by a scammy operator in that country named 'General Research GmbH'. That scam artist got the thing up to 25c early June before reality set in (and after the scoundrels behind the pump had sold their stock, for sure). There's more chance of Alvaro Uribe winning Mr. Universe than a profitable mine getting built on top of its smoke'n'mirrors asset. If you're long this you have two choices; learn by your mistakes or remain poor for the rest of your life, cos if they scam you with this one they'll scam you the same way with a thousand others.
Exeter Resources (XRC.v) (XRA) down 1% at C$3.00. Woof woof.
Caerus Resources (CA.v) down 7% at 40c. I tried to warn you about this thing, but would you listen? That's 30% dropped in the space of a week. The reason: Woof woof woof woof woof woof.
UPDATE: Winnah winnah chikkin dinnah goes to reader MR timestamped at 1:08pm...2nd place Jeppe. No need to continue writing and telling me it's Foo Fighters with 'Summer's End'.
Peru CPI survey: So much for growth
Here are the charts. This one is the full Monty with all stats but is tough to read....
Finally, let's just point to the fact that although Peruvians recognize there is more investment coming into the country (other parts of the same survey make that abundantly clear) they are less content with their lot. It does beg the question as to why the meme of "foreign investment good" is pumped down people's throat sans cesse. But hey, wait a moment! Never mind the locals' views, cos it just so happens to benefit the people that write the reports saying "FDI good".
Nice Chart from Biiwii this morning
I'm not pasting it here, you can go over and see it at the source. Daylight come an' me wanna go home.
Peru's ImpEx update
This first chart shows monthly bars for both imports and exports.
In 2009 exports have recovered somewhat (thanks mainly to the rebounds in copper and gold) but are still well off 2008 highs. Imports have been in the gutter all year, the same levels as 30 months previously. Where's this "vibrant internal economy" that S&P talked about when affirming its ridiculous investment grade on Peru? IKN calls bullshit on another band of self-righteous, arrogant fools in suits.
So if we add up the imports and exports to show (below) total trade activity with the rest of the world, 2009 has recovered a bit but there's a country mile between current trade and the numbers being posted this time last year.

Chart of the day is....
...sugar futures and the monthly candle lets us see just how high it is right now.
Wowsers. I was reading some dude talking about crude oil and how the Chinese Yuan peg was propping up the prices and how all the supply-and-demanders were dumbasses for not seeing the big trend and I was all "Hey, that's me you're talking about and calling dumbass", and felt kinda miffed that, even if his hypothesis were true, some short-term monetary phenomenon was being mistaken for an economic law (whatever that words means inside economics) and trumping the BIG one...S&D, Adam Smith and the long term true truths of this world.So this sugar chart with all the noise going around at the moment about crippling supply shortages and suchlike, makes me feel a lot better. I'll be talking a little about sugar in IKN16 on Sunday and a very interesting investment opportunity I've noticed here in LatAm.
8/10/09
Greg Grandin's Honduras List
So anyhow, following on from that debate Grandin has put together an article at HuffPo that nails the lies used by Lanny on a point by point basis, all backed up with cross references and data and links and all the malarkey. So if you want a nice, clean, academically rigorous but simple to digest rundown of exactly why the happenings in Honduras is a shame on all houses and an affront to all Latin America (and the wider world for that matter), check out Grandin's post, it's linked right here.
Did I say billion? Oops, I meant 'thousand'
About 10 minutes ago this came through on the wires. I'm taking the liberty of pasting the whole thing in Spanish below because I have a feeling that headline will be corrected soon and I'd like a lasting copy. The headline reads "Police Confiscate more than twenty-one billion false dollars" but if you read the story the real number is $21,000 found in the pockets of a couple of dudes in Peru.
Now...if it really were $21Bn that would be "Dog Bites Man/Man Bites Dog". 15% of Peru's GDP floating around the country in false C-notes? You'll need a few grip bags for that.
PolicĂa confisca más de 21 mil millones de dĂłlares falsificados
15:02 | Durante el operativo en San Juan de Lurigancho, dos sujetos fueron detenidos. Son acusados de pertenecer a una banda de falsificadores en dicho distrito
La PolicĂa Nacional del PerĂş (PNP) detuvo a dos sujetos en San Juan de Lurigancho que portaban 21 mil dĂłlares falsos, durante un operativo en dicho distrito.
Los detenidos fueron identificados como Manuel Andrés Miñano Laos, de 56 años, y Raúl Quispe Rodriguez, de 55.
Miñano, quien fue capturado en la Av. Wiesse, es acusado de ser el encargado de distribuir los billetes falsos en toda la zona del Cono Este de la capital. Se le decomisaron 212 billetes de 50 dólares y 96 billetes de 100.
Por su parte, Quispe RodrĂguez fue atrapado en el asentamiento humano 5 de Noviembre.
La PNP revelĂł que los billetes incautados son muy parecidos a los billetes verdaderos, savo por su contextura y el papel.
Ahora la PolicĂa se encuentra tras los pasos de esta organizaciĂłn de falsificadores.
Maple Syrup
Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Maple Energy Plc is “still hopeful” it will find oil in the Santa Rosa prospect in the Peruvian jungle, Chief Executive Officer Rex Canon said.
Lima-based Maple will begin a second round of drilling in the prospect in about two weeks, Canon said in a telephone interview today. Maple tumbled 46 percent on Aug. 6 after saying the first round of drilling produced no oil.
“The real news on this particular prospect will not be known until we actually finish drilling,” Canon said. “I think some people maybe didn’t evaluate all the information that is out there” in driving down the stock last week, he said. FULL REPORT HERE
The stock is currently up a tad under 10% in Lima trading at U$2.22, volume 471,000 shares and counting.
Trading Post (Mark Twain edition)

Reports of the US Dollar's death have been (insert correct answer here)
Dynasty (DMM.to) down 5.9% at $3.20 on higher than average volumes and was way lower at $2.97 earlier. IKN Weekly subscribers received a Flash update on this stock at just after 11am this morning...just when it marked the bottom, in fact. Funny dat, innit?
Gleichen Resources (GRL.v) down 7.8% at $0.83 and as planned I picked a few of these up this morning...oooh ohh, a flip-trade position open! I'm feeling all light-headed! DYODD, dude.
ECU Silver down 5.5% at $0.52. Woof woof.
Nadagold (NG) down 4.2% at U$3.66. Woof woof woof woof woof woof woof.
Neil Innes versus the goldbugs
Longer-standing readers might remember this IKN post back in September on the idiotic Jim Willie that had him on about exactly the the same dollar demise, exactly the same "gold to da moon Alice" and exactly the same hilarity-by-chart (which I've just noticed predicted the imminent arrival of "mammoth inflation"....on September 12! ROFL!)So now that the dollar has broken back up'n'thru the dumbass's latest set of squiggly, wiggly lines less than a week after yet again calling for the-end-of-the-world-we're-all-doomed-doomed-ah-tells-ya, I think it best to hand over to Neil Innes and his Protest Song:
All the prophets of doom can always find room
In a world full of worry and fear
Tip cigarettes and chemistry sets
And rudolph the red-nosed reindeer
So I'm goin back to my little old shack
And drink me a bottle of wine
That was mis en bouteille before my birthday
And have me a f****** good time*
(*this youtube version uses "fantastic time")
Fiesta Time!
Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Latin America remains the most “attractively priced” region for equities even after rising more than other markets last quarter, according to Blackrock, the world’s biggest publicly traded asset manager.Brazil is among the most “notable” equity markets in the region, William Landers, senior portfolio manager for Latin America, wrote in a note to clients, citing prospects for economic growth on commodities and lower borrowing costs.
“Latin American valuation levels offer attractive potential long-term returns, still ranking the region as the most attractively priced regional market on a growth-adjusted basis,” Landers wrote
Twobreakfasts in Emergency Landing Drama
At first there were serious suspicions about excess weight being carried by the plane, but it eventually transpired that the cockpit window had cracked and the pilot was fed up with the wind ruining his coiff.
The Incredible Toronto Summer Sale!!!
Yes really. Roll Up Roll Up!! Courtesy of Can&Corn Inc, purveyors of quality retail neurosis since 1988, the bigtime summer sale is now on!! HURRY HURRY!!, for you too can get two shares of Dynasty Metals for the price of one* if you're slick and quick and make it to the counter now NOW NOW!!*December 2009 prices
**some restrictions apply, sucker
Chart of the day is....
...dividends paid by Troy Resources this decade.
A total of 53c (if you were wondering), which isn't bad for a lil' gold miner. The 4c added for the 2009 column has just been announced. Here's the blurb (TY reader EDL):Troy Declares 10th Consecutive Fully Franked Dividend
PERTH, WESTERN AUSTRALIA--(Marketwire - Aug. 10, 2009) -NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO UNITED STATES NEWSWIRE SERVICES OR FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES
Growing junior gold producer, Troy Resources NL ("Troy") (TSX:TRY)(ASX:TRY) today announced it will pay a fully franked final dividend of 4 Australian cents per share out of profits for the year ended 30 June 2009. The Company is expecting to report an audited net profit after income tax, for the year ended 30 June 2009, approximating AUD 16 million. The record date for the dividend is close of trading on Friday 21 August, 2009 and the payment date is Friday 4 September, 2009.
Commenting on the announcement Troy's CEO, Paul Benson said: "This is Troy's tenth consecutive fully franked dividend which is an amazing record for a junior gold producer. The dividend of 4 cents per share represents a yield of 2.3% on Friday's closing share price. The 2009 financial year was certainly one of building the foundations for the profitable growth of the company which will allow us to continue paying dividends in the future."
ABOUT TROY RESOURCES
Troy Resources (TSX:TRY)(ASX:TRY) is a dividend-paying junior gold producer, with a clear growth strategy. The Company has two producing gold operations; at Sandstone in Western Australia and the Andorinhas Mine in Para State, Brazil and a gold silver development project "Casposo" in San Juan province, Argentina.
Troy has an experienced Board and management team with a portfolio of successful, fast-track mine development and low-cost operations.
Troy has an annual exploration budget of $5 million and a proven track record in exploration discoveries and strategic acquisitions.
Troy is currently focused on developing its Casposo Project, which it acquired in May 2009. With the acquisition and development of Casposo, Troy is entering a renewed growth phase which will again lift the Company's annual gold production above 100,000 ounces of gold per annum.
The Company maintains a robust balance sheet, and its current assets are forecast to continue to generate strong cash flow. Troy's gold production is unhedged; allowing its shareholders access to the full benefit of current and future gold price upside.
With the recent Casposo acquisition, Troy is positioned to continue its path of strong growth and profitable operations and is well on track to achieve its vision of becoming a highly profitable mid-tier gold producer with a portfolio of quality long-life assets.
Troy is a responsible corporate citizen, committed to the best practice of health and safety, environmental stewardship and social responsibility.
ABN 33 006 243 750
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:
Troy Resources NL
Mr Paul Benson
Chief Executive Officer
(61 8) 9481 1277
(61 8) 9321 8237 (FAX)
troy@troyres.com.au
www.try.com.au
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The final remaining Environmental Management Plan and Environmental License approvals are expected to be received this month. 










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