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3/8/15

Zinc in 2015: Clarus vs reality

Reality:



Clarus Jan 2015:
There has been a lot of bullish talk in the metals community about zinc and nickel over the past couple of years, as many insiders believe those commodities are poised for a rally. You can include Clarus Securities analyst Mike Bandrowski in that group.
He published a detailed note on Tuesday that suggests zinc and nickel have “imminent” upside and will perform very strongly over the next two years as inventories disappear.
In the case of zinc, Mr. Bandrowski noted the market is already in deficit, and that deficit should get bigger following the closures of the Lisheen and Century mines this year. He said exchange inventories have fallen by more than half over the last two years and should be at “critical” levels later in 2015.
“We believe the lack of funding in zinc mine development and exploration has now caught up with the marketplace and zinc prices will respond in 2015,” he said in a note.
“Despite the broad commodity sell-off, zinc has held up quite well, likely an indication of the favourable supply/demand fundamentals.”
Seriously, what is it about zinc? Every freakin' year you start with anal ysts calling it higher, every fraakin' year the same BS supply/demand argument, every freekin' year nothing happens, and the end of every frookin' year it's re-set and replay from these purveyors of sellside tripe.