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6/12/13

Mine: A confidence crisis

A lot of people are putting the new PWC report "Mine: A confidence crisis" in front of your humble scribe's ugly fizzog this morning, so rather than suffer alone the link to the paper gets a showing here on the blerg too.

Have a read, a sober and sobering look at the state of the mining sector from a beancounter point of view. Here's the cover blurb that goes with the free download:
The mining industry faces a confidence crisis. Confidence over whether costs can be controlled, return on capital will improve and commodity prices will not collapse, among others. Over the past decade, the mining industry has outperformed the broader equity markets, but this trend has recently changed. While 2012 saw mining stocks fall slightly, they fell nearly 20% in the first four months of 2013.
Regaining confidence depends on how the mining industry responds to its rising costs, increasingly volatile commodity prices and other challenges such as resource nationalism. Despite this drop in confidence, it’s not all bad news. Production volumes and dividend yields are up and while prices have fallen, they have not crashed. China continues to be the industry’s most important customer. While Chinese growth rates are slowing down, they are coming from a bigger base, so future demand for commodities still looks healthy.
Miners are trying to rebuild the market’s confidence - capital expenditures have been scaled back, hurdle rates are being increased and non-core assets are being disposed of. Across the board, there is a shift from maximising value by increasing production volumes, to a renewed focus on maximising returns from existing operations through managing productivity and improving efficiencies.

The full report here